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2024-12-13 10:28:10

Guan Qingyou: I am optimistic about the stock market by cutting interest rates and lowering the RRR. For example, Guan Qingyou, president and chief economist of the Financial Research Institute, said that lowering the RRR and raising interest rates will definitely happen, and from the downward trend of previous interest rates, it should be faster. Regarding the current market conditions, Guan Qingyou said that different subjects have different judgments on the market trend in one or two trading days, but he is still optimistic, and said that the positive impact of the current policy change on the capital market cannot be underestimated. Combining industrial structure and policy orientation, Guan Qingyou said that consumer companies, technology companies, and mergers and acquisitions involving the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries to emerging formats are all his optimistic directions. In addition, for the economic growth target in 2025, Guan Qingyou believes that "the target of 5% can still be contested". He also said that 2025 will be better than 2024. "In 2025, the adjustment of policies will bring more increments to the market and industry." (sohu finance)Trade union representative: STELLANTIS told us that the output of Italy in 2025 will be similar to this year, about 500,000 vehicles.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.


The largest automobile ro-ro terminal on the Yangtze River trunk line was officially put into operation in Suzhou. On December 12th, Haitong Taicang Automobile Terminal, the largest automobile ro-ro terminal on the Yangtze River trunk line, was officially opened for production and operation. On the same day, three ro-ro ships docked at Haitong Wharf, and more than 3,300 cars were loaded on board and sent to Mexico, Peru, South Korea, Guatemala and other countries. The coastline of Haitong Taicang Automobile Terminal is 708 meters long, and it can berth two foreign trade ro-ro ships of 70,000 tons and one domestic trade ro-ro ship of 3000 tons at the same time. The land area of the yard is 860,000 square meters, the number of parking spaces is 32,000, and the designed annual automobile throughput is 1.3 million.The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, warning that economic growth will slow down. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3%, and warned that economic growth will be weaker than its previous forecast. This is the fourth time that the European Central Bank has cut interest rates since June, bringing the benchmark interest rate to its lowest level since March 2023. At the same time, the European Central Bank warned that the euro zone economy will only grow by 1.1% in 2025, lower than its forecast of 1.3% in September. It was widely expected that the European Central Bank would cut interest rates. Investors expect that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates more than the Federal Reserve next year, because it is widely expected that the economic growth of the euro zone will lag behind that of the United States. The euro zone's export-dependent economy is also vulnerable to Trump's threat to impose tariffs of up to 20% on all American imports.India imported 841,993 tons of palm oil in November, compared with 845,682 tons in October.


ECB: Domestic inflation has dropped slightly, but it is still at a high level. ECB: Staff now expect the economic recovery to be slower than predicted in September. As time goes on, the influence of restrictive monetary policy gradually fades, which should support the recovery of domestic demand. Domestic inflation has declined slightly, but it is still at a high level, mainly because wages and prices in some industries are still being adjusted to adapt to the past inflation surge.Dongyang Guangyao submitted a prospectus to be listed in Hong Kong by way of introduction. On December 11th, Dongyangguang Pharmaceutical, the controlling shareholder of Dongyangguang Changjiang Pharmaceutical, submitted a prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to be listed in Hong Kong by way of introduction, and the exclusive sponsor was CICC.During the "slimming" of the brokerage business department, more than 100 companies were cancelled during the year, and the competition turned to differentiated services. The brokerage business of brokerage companies is welcoming a new round of changes. In the past few days, a number of brokers have announced the cancellation of their relevant business departments. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, in the past two weeks, many brokers such as Nanjing Securities, Guosen Securities and Pacific Securities announced that they would "streamline" their business departments. Looking at it for a long time, more than 35 brokers have issued announcements during the year, "downsizing" hundreds of business departments. Insiders pointed out that the traditional offline outlet business development model has increasingly shown drawbacks and high cost pressure; At the same time, more and more customers rely on online transactions and mobile terminal transactions, so it is imperative to "streamline" the business department to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Future competition depends more on differentiated financial management and trading services. (Shell Finance)

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